Exciting new episode of Coolabah’s Complexity Premia Podcast out now!
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. In this column I submit 10 big ideas for the next decade, which is bound to be a dangerous one, including: the coming of self-aware artificial intelligence; fusion between AI and humanity to create homo-digitus; the prospect of people living to 150 years …
Hedgie: More sharks on land than in water in these parts Read More »
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. Our thesis is simple: capitalism is dying and the myopic public policy statism replacing it is breeding a new wave of zombie companies that cannot survive in a normalised interest rate world. These zombies have loaded up on debt they can only just …
We are delighted to announce that Pinnacle Investment Management (ASX: PNI) has joined the Coolabah Capital Investments’ family.
On the subject of the search for yield, one question I am regularly asked is whether retail investors should be switching from major bank hybrids
It is time to unveil a new expectation: if the RBA continues cutting through conventional and unconventional means, which is our central case, I expect that this economic cycle house prices will likely increase by about 30% with no immediate financial stability hazards. This follows on from our April 2019 projection that the 10% draw-down in Australian …
Today I explain why most global high yield bonds are really just equity risk, with similar volatility and maximum 40% losses, while also lifting the lid on one of our most complex and bold predictions: the shock Standard & Poor’s upgrade yesterday of the major banks’ hybrids from their previous BB+ “high yield” rating to …
How we predicted S&P’s shock upgrade of major bank hybrids to investment-grade Read More »
Today I write that the ACCC inquiry into the big banks, and the front book/back book fracas that reportedly precipitated it, are completely bogus. Let’s get a few facts straight. First, all businesses, including banks, are free to discount new product sales. Trying to prevent banks from doing so would be akin to telling Coles they …
Today I write that it is amusing how we have shifted from nobody believing our early May forecast that Aussie quantitative easing (QE) was coming, to it suddenly becoming the consensus view as the Reserve Bank of Australia grapples with an effective lower bound on its target cash rate. In fact, there are interest rate …
Here are some basic thoughts from my team on CBA’s new hybrid issue, which is not investment advice and should not be relied on for any decision-making. Note that this is also very high-level… Analysis of new CBA Hybrid: CBAPI CBA has launched a new hybrid security offering: PERLS XII, expected to trade on the …
On Thursday I debated and demolished my old foe Dr Steve Keen (of doomsday fame) on the contentious subject of Aussie housing. You might recall that Steve was the guy who garnered enormous media coverage for predicting a sensational 40 per cent drop in house prices during the 2008 global financial crisis. Aussie house prices are now 131 per …
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