Latest News
Timely insights and research on markets and macroeconomics from around the world overlaid with Coolabah’s unique contrarian philosophy.
Latest News
Coolabah Capital Investments publishes its analysis and insights across a wide range of platforms, including special academic research publications, essays, the Complexity Premia podcast, weekly in The Australian Financial Review, and on Livewire. Check out this page for the latest updates.
How tight can semi-spreads go post QE?
Authored by Dr James Yang, Senior Data Scientist, Christopher Joye, Chief Investment Officer, Matthew Coleman, Senior Consultant, Coolabah Capital Investments. This brief note seeks to
Aggressive RBA Policy Easing in November
Authored by Kieran Davies; Coolabah Capital Investments. For a number of months now Coolabah Capital Investments (CCI) has forecast that the RBA would embark on
Upside surprises unlikely: tracking state budgets and term debt issuance
Authored by Kieran Davies; Coolabah Capital Investments. In a major effort, Coolabah Capital has developed a simple framework for tracking potential revisions to the term
Coolabah COVID-19 Forecasting Model 5th Most Downloaded Health Paper in World
Coolabah’s unique COVID-19 forecasting framework, which in March correctly predicted an early April peak for the number of new infections in key countries like the
Latest Videos
The Complexity Premia Podcast
Coolabah also publishes the popular Complexity Premia Podcast, deconstructing modern investment problems in capital markets. See the latest episodes below.
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 19
Traders vs Investors; Why Markets are Ignoring Second Waves; Central Banks Disintermediating Markets; Performance; and Turning Beta into Alpha
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 18
The Next Big Pivot Point for Markets – COVID-19 Vaccines; June Performance; Liquidity in Bond Markets; NAB’s Landmark Unlisted Hybrid Deal; And More
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 17
Impact of Covid-19 on Markets, Future Risks Including US-China Relations, Global Debt Crises, EU Disintegration and Aussie Housing
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 16
Impact of Covid-19 on Markets, Future Risks Including US-China Relations, Global Debt Crises, EU Disintegration and Aussie Housing
How tight can semi-spreads go post QE?
Authored by Dr James Yang, Senior Data Scientist, Christopher Joye, Chief Investment Officer, Matthew Coleman, Senior Consultant, Coolabah Capital Investments. This brief note seeks to
Aggressive RBA Policy Easing in November
Authored by Kieran Davies; Coolabah Capital Investments. For a number of months now Coolabah Capital Investments (CCI) has forecast that the RBA would embark on
Upside surprises unlikely: tracking state budgets and term debt issuance
Authored by Kieran Davies; Coolabah Capital Investments. In a major effort, Coolabah Capital has developed a simple framework for tracking potential revisions to the term
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 19
Traders vs Investors; Why Markets are Ignoring Second Waves; Central Banks Disintermediating Markets; Performance; and Turning Beta into Alpha
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 18
The Next Big Pivot Point for Markets – COVID-19 Vaccines; June Performance; Liquidity in Bond Markets; NAB’s Landmark Unlisted Hybrid Deal; And More
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 17
Impact of Covid-19 on Markets, Future Risks Including US-China Relations, Global Debt Crises, EU Disintegration and Aussie Housing
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 16
Impact of Covid-19 on Markets, Future Risks Including US-China Relations, Global Debt Crises, EU Disintegration and Aussie Housing
Coolabah COVID-19 Forecasting Model 5th Most Downloaded Health Paper in World
Coolabah’s unique COVID-19 forecasting framework, which in March correctly predicted an early April peak for the number of new infections in key countries like the
Global Empirical Forecasts of COVID-19 Trajectories Under Limited Information on the Efficacy of Intervention Strategies
Authored by Kai Lin, Christopher Joye, Nathan Giang, and Dr Adam Richardson; Coolabah Capital Investments. As the novel coronavirus and its associated disease COVID-19 started
Peak Virus: Forecasting the Peak in COVID-19 Infections in the US and Australia
Authored by Kai Lin and Christopher Joye, Coolabah Capital Investments. As we move through “peak virus”, our team has spent time reflecting on significant trigger
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 15
Coronavirus Special, Central Bank Action, Next Crisis To Be Triggered by Subprime Corp Loans, Aussie Housing
House prices to rise at 20 per cent this cycle
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. Today I write that housing boom is tracking more or less exactly as
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 14
2019 Performance Wrap-up; Coolabah’s Approach to Life; Coming of a Dangerous Decade; Rise of Zombie Companies; Lunch with One of the World’s Biggest HF Managers
Hedgie: More sharks on land than in water in these parts
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. In this column I submit 10 big ideas for the next decade, which
Rise of the ASX Zombies
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. Our thesis is simple: capitalism is dying and the myopic public policy statism
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 13
Bond Market Returns in 2019; Welcoming Pinnacle to our Family; Human Frailties of the World’s Greatest Investor; RBA vs the Govt over Fiscal Policy and More…
Pinnacle Investment Management Joins Coolabah Capital Family
We are delighted to announce that Pinnacle Investment Management (ASX: PNI) has joined the Coolabah Capital Investments’ family.
CCI Cornerstones Landmark RMBS deal
Coolabah Capital Investments was delighted to cornerstone the first-ever RMBS bond issue—offered by CBA—that has priced off the RBA cash rate rather than the traditionally-used
SwitzerTV, Episode 12
Coolabah Capital’s Chris Joye, Domain’s Jason Pellegrino and PEXA’s Marcus Price discuss the property market rebound.
Coolabah Capital selected as one of Australia’s Top Alpha Managers
On the subject of the search for yield, one question I am regularly asked is whether retail investors should be switching from major bank hybrids
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