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Timely insights and research on markets and macroeconomics from around the world overlaid with Coolabah’s unique contrarian philosophy.
Latest News
Coolabah Capital Investments publishes its analysis and insights across a wide range of platforms, including special academic research publications, essays, the Complexity Premia podcast, weekly in The Australian Financial Review, and on Livewire. Check out this page for the latest updates.
The Complexity Premia Podcast
Coolabah also publishes the popular Complexity Premia Podcast, deconstructing modern investment problems in capital markets. See the latest episodes below.
Coolabah COVID-19 Forecasting Model 5th Most Downloaded Health Paper in World
Coolabah’s unique COVID-19 forecasting framework, which in March correctly predicted an early April peak for the number of new infections in key countries like the
Global Empirical Forecasts of COVID-19 Trajectories Under Limited Information on the Efficacy of Intervention Strategies
Authored by Kai Lin, Christopher Joye, Nathan Giang, and Dr Adam Richardson; Coolabah Capital Investments. As the novel coronavirus and its associated disease COVID-19 started
Peak Virus: Forecasting the Peak in COVID-19 Infections in the US and Australia
Authored by Kai Lin and Christopher Joye, Coolabah Capital Investments. As we move through “peak virus”, our team has spent time reflecting on significant trigger
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 15
Coronavirus Special, Central Bank Action, Next Crisis To Be Triggered by Subprime Corp Loans, Aussie Housing
House prices to rise at 20 per cent this cycle
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. Today I write that housing boom is tracking more or less exactly as
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 14
2019 Performance Wrap-up; Coolabah’s Approach to Life; Coming of a Dangerous Decade; Rise of Zombie Companies; Lunch with One of the World’s Biggest HF Managers
Hedgie: More sharks on land than in water in these parts
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. In this column I submit 10 big ideas for the next decade, which
Rise of the ASX Zombies
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. Our thesis is simple: capitalism is dying and the myopic public policy statism
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 13
Bond Market Returns in 2019; Welcoming Pinnacle to our Family; Human Frailties of the World’s Greatest Investor; RBA vs the Govt over Fiscal Policy and More…
Pinnacle Investment Management Joins Coolabah Capital Family
We are delighted to announce that Pinnacle Investment Management (ASX: PNI) has joined the Coolabah Capital Investments’ family.
CCI Cornerstones Landmark RMBS deal
Coolabah Capital Investments was delighted to cornerstone the first-ever RMBS bond issue—offered by CBA—that has priced off the RBA cash rate rather than the traditionally-used
SwitzerTV, Episode 12
Coolabah Capital’s Chris Joye, Domain’s Jason Pellegrino and PEXA’s Marcus Price discuss the property market rebound.
Coolabah Capital selected as one of Australia’s Top Alpha Managers
On the subject of the search for yield, one question I am regularly asked is whether retail investors should be switching from major bank hybrids
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 12
Competition Facing the Big Banks; Is High Yield Debt Just Equities in Disguise; Aussie Housing; RBA Rate Cuts & QE; Looking Into Next Year…
Hybrids vs High Yield
On the subject of the search for yield, one question I am regularly asked is whether retail investors should be switching from major bank hybrids
House Prices to Increase 30%
It is time to unveil a new expectation: if the RBA continues cutting through conventional and unconventional means, which is our central case, I expect
Coolabah COVID-19 Forecasting Model 5th Most Downloaded Health Paper in World
Coolabah’s unique COVID-19 forecasting framework, which in March correctly predicted an early April peak for the number of new infections...
Global Empirical Forecasts of COVID-19 Trajectories Under Limited Information on the Efficacy of Intervention Strategies
Authored by Kai Lin, Christopher Joye, Nathan Giang, and Dr Adam Richardson; Coolabah Capital Investments. As the novel coronavirus and...
Peak Virus: Forecasting the Peak in COVID-19 Infections in the US and Australia
Authored by Kai Lin and Christopher Joye, Coolabah Capital Investments. As we move through “peak virus”, our team has spent...
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 15
Coronavirus Special, Central Bank Action, Next Crisis To Be Triggered by Subprime Corp Loans, Aussie Housing
House prices to rise at 20 per cent this cycle
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. Today I write that housing boom is tracking...
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 14
2019 Performance Wrap-up; Coolabah’s Approach to Life; Coming of a Dangerous Decade; Rise of Zombie Companies; Lunch with One of...
Hedgie: More sharks on land than in water in these parts
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. In this column I submit 10 big ideas...
Rise of the ASX Zombies
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. Our thesis is simple: capitalism is dying and...
Pinnacle Investment Management Joins Coolabah Capital Family
We are delighted to announce that Pinnacle Investment Management (ASX: PNI) has joined the Coolabah Capital Investments' family.
CCI Cornerstones Landmark RMBS deal
Coolabah Capital Investments was delighted to cornerstone the first-ever RMBS bond issue—offered by CBA—that has priced off the RBA cash...
SwitzerTV, Episode 12
Coolabah Capital's Chris Joye, Domain's Jason Pellegrino and PEXA's Marcus Price discuss the property market rebound.
Coolabah Capital selected as one of Australia’s Top Alpha Managers
On the subject of the search for yield, one question I am regularly asked is whether retail investors should be...
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 12
Competition Facing the Big Banks; Is High Yield Debt Just Equities in Disguise; Aussie Housing; RBA Rate Cuts & QE;...
Hybrids vs High Yield
On the subject of the search for yield, one question I am regularly asked is whether retail investors should be...
House Prices to Increase 30%
It is time to unveil a new expectation: if the RBA continues cutting through conventional and unconventional means, which is...
How we predicted S&P’s shock upgrade of major bank hybrids to investment-grade
Today I explain why most global high yield bonds are really just equity risk, with similar volatility and maximum 40%...
Big banks have never faced more competition…
Today I write that the ACCC inquiry into the big banks, and the front book/back book fracas that reportedly precipitated it,...
How Aussie QE Will Work
Today I write that it is amusing how we have shifted from nobody believing our early May forecast that Aussie...
Thoughts on CBA Perls XII
Here are some basic thoughts from my team on CBA’s new hybrid issue, which is not investment advice and should...
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 11
Keen vs Joye; Is Capitalism Dead; CBA’s New Hybrid Deal; Hybrids vs Foreign High Yield; the Coming of Aussie QE...
Demolishing a housing doomsayer
On Thursday I debated and demolished my old foe Dr Steve Keen (of doomsday fame) on the contentious subject of Aussie housing....
As predicted, RBA QE is coming soon…
In predictably cutting its cash rate to a new record low of 0.75 per cent in October, the RBA moved...
Kissinger: Why Traders Are Smarter Than Investors
While studying at Cambridge University in 2003 I got a letter from former US secretary of state Henry Kissinger, inviting...
Capitalism is dead
Today I argue that in response to the 2008 crisis central banks and treasuries have thrown the baby out with...
ECB shunts RBA one step closer to QE
This weekend I write that the ECB’s decision to start buying bonds again to reduce the long-term cost of capital...
This housing boom is very different
Today I explain why this housing boom is very different to its predecessors, and should not constrain the RBA from...
Housing Boom is Back, Baby!
Today I explain why this housing boom is very different to its predecessors, and should not constrain the RBA from...
RBA Signalling QE May Be Coming
I’ve written a lot about the coming of Aussie QE since we first forecast it in May this year (the notion was...
QE Will Create Wave of Zombie Companies
Today I argue that since we blindsided participants by first putting the likelihood of the Reserve Bank of Australia launching quantitative...
Coolabah COVID-19 Forecasting Model 5th Most Downloaded Health Paper in World
Coolabah’s unique COVID-19 forecasting framework, which in March correctly predicted an early April peak for the number of new infections in key countries like the
Global Empirical Forecasts of COVID-19 Trajectories Under Limited Information on the Efficacy of Intervention Strategies
Authored by Kai Lin, Christopher Joye, Nathan Giang, and Dr Adam Richardson; Coolabah Capital Investments. As the novel coronavirus and its associated disease COVID-19 started
Peak Virus: Forecasting the Peak in COVID-19 Infections in the US and Australia
Authored by Kai Lin and Christopher Joye, Coolabah Capital Investments. As we move through “peak virus”, our team has spent time reflecting on significant trigger
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 15
Coronavirus Special, Central Bank Action, Next Crisis To Be Triggered by Subprime Corp Loans, Aussie Housing
House prices to rise at 20 per cent this cycle
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. Today I write that housing boom is tracking more or less exactly as
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 14
2019 Performance Wrap-up; Coolabah’s Approach to Life; Coming of a Dangerous Decade; Rise of Zombie Companies; Lunch with One of the World’s Biggest HF Managers
Hedgie: More sharks on land than in water in these parts
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. In this column I submit 10 big ideas for the next decade, which
Rise of the ASX Zombies
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. Our thesis is simple: capitalism is dying and the myopic public policy statism
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 13
Bond Market Returns in 2019; Welcoming Pinnacle to our Family; Human Frailties of the World’s Greatest Investor; RBA vs the Govt over Fiscal Policy and More…
Pinnacle Investment Management Joins Coolabah Capital Family
We are delighted to announce that Pinnacle Investment Management (ASX: PNI) has joined the Coolabah Capital Investments’ family.
CCI Cornerstones Landmark RMBS deal
Coolabah Capital Investments was delighted to cornerstone the first-ever RMBS bond issue—offered by CBA—that has priced off the RBA cash rate rather than the traditionally-used
SwitzerTV, Episode 12
Coolabah Capital’s Chris Joye, Domain’s Jason Pellegrino and PEXA’s Marcus Price discuss the property market rebound.
Coolabah Capital selected as one of Australia’s Top Alpha Managers
On the subject of the search for yield, one question I am regularly asked is whether retail investors should be switching from major bank hybrids
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 12
Competition Facing the Big Banks; Is High Yield Debt Just Equities in Disguise; Aussie Housing; RBA Rate Cuts & QE; Looking Into Next Year…
Hybrids vs High Yield
On the subject of the search for yield, one question I am regularly asked is whether retail investors should be switching from major bank hybrids
House Prices to Increase 30%
It is time to unveil a new expectation: if the RBA continues cutting through conventional and unconventional means, which is our central case, I expect
How we predicted S&P’s shock upgrade of major bank hybrids to investment-grade
Today I explain why most global high yield bonds are really just equity risk, with similar volatility and maximum 40% losses, while also lifting the
Big banks have never faced more competition…
Today I write that the ACCC inquiry into the big banks, and the front book/back book fracas that reportedly precipitated it, are completely bogus. Let’s get
How Aussie QE Will Work
Today I write that it is amusing how we have shifted from nobody believing our early May forecast that Aussie quantitative easing (QE) was coming,
Thoughts on CBA Perls XII
Here are some basic thoughts from my team on CBA’s new hybrid issue, which is not investment advice and should not be relied on for
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