Latest News
Timely insights and research on markets and macroeconomics from around the world overlaid with Coolabah’s unique contrarian philosophy.
Latest News
Coolabah Capital Investments publishes its analysis and insights across a wide range of platforms, including special academic research publications, essays, the Complexity Premia podcast, weekly in The Australian Financial Review, and on Livewire. Check out this page for the latest updates.
War Lab Revealed by ASPI’s The Strategist
Writing for the Australian Strategic Policy Institute’s The Strategist today, Coolabah Capital Investments’ Chief Investment Officer Christopher Joye unveils Coolabah’s...
Read MoreReport by Dr Stephen Bartos
An Assessment of Public Policy Implications of Decisions in relation to the NSW Generations Fund and NSW Government Debt.
Read MoreForecasting Australian herd immunity and opening up our borders: early to mid 2022
Coolabah has attempted to forecast both the advent of “herd immunity” in Australia and when governments will be comfortable opening-up...
Read MoreNavigating By The Stars, Part 1: Estimating Australia’s NAIRU
With the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) committed to reaching its legislated “full employment” objective in order to finally return...
Read MoreVideo: Using artificial intelligence in bond markets and trying to short Virgin senior bonds
Enclosed is a new Livewire video interview with Jason Lindeman, Coolabah’s highly experienced Head of Credit Research, which covers: Why...
Read MoreShould we worry about a spike in US inflation?
This is an article published by Kieran Davies, Chief Macro Strategist, on Livewire recently. Key former policy-makers and academics have...
Read MoreVideo: Lessons from 30 years in credit markets
This is an interview with Jason Lindeman, Head of Credit Research, published on Livewire recently. Jason Lindeman, Head of Credit...
Read MoreForecasting the housing boom
Coolabah’s Chief Macro Strategist, Kieran Davies replicates one of the RBA’s internal models on the Australian housing market and finds...
Read MoreRBA QE is being outpaced by rest of the world, putting upward pressure on A$ and implying more QE is needed…
This is an article published by Kieran Davies, Chief Macro Strategist, on Livewire recently. In a world of near-zero interest...
Read MoreForecasting QE3 Program
In this new paper, Coolabah’s Chief Macro Strategist, Kieran Davies, and its Chief Investment Officer, Christopher Joye, examine the case...
Read MoreQE 2.0: Weak wages growth and the RBA’s full employment goal point to another round of bond purchases
In this new paper, Coolabah’s Chief Macro Strategist, Kieran Davies, and its Chief Investment Officer, Christopher Joye, examine the case...
Read MoreActive management is key to fixed income alpha
This is an article published on Livewire recently. Smart active managers in high-grade credit can find and exploit bond mispricings...
Read MoreCommonwealth budget, Oct 2020: Tracking better than the government’s forecast profile ahead of a windfall from iron ore
Authored by Kieran Davies, Coolabah Capital Investments. In this new report, we review our real-time tracking of the Commonwealth budget....
Read MoreWhy Coolabah is painting a rosy picture for 2021
This is an article published on Livewire recently. Ying Yi Ann Cheng, Portfolio Management Director at Coolabah Capital Investments, says...
Read MoreQE, the collapse of the money multiplier, and the bond multiplier
In a new report published today we argue that this year has seen a sea change in the operation of monetary...
Read MoreAussie house prices increase in October (in line with our March 2020 forecast)
This is an article portfolio manager Christopher Joye published on Livewire recently. Consistent with our March 2020 forecast for a...
Read MoreLatest Videos
The Complexity Premia Podcast
Coolabah also publishes the popular Complexity Premia Podcast, deconstructing modern investment problems in capital markets. See the latest episodes below.
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 29
Whether Crypto is the 21st century Tulip Bulb Bubble?
Read MoreComplexity Premia Podcast, Episode 28
Looking ahead into 2022; Trajectory for inflation, rates and asset prices; NSW slashes debt issuance by $20bn; Machines entering bond...
Read MoreComplexity Premia Podcast, Episode 27
House prices falling 20% if rates rise; Forecasting global wars; RBA vs bond bandits; October performance...
Read MoreComplexity Premia Podcast, Episode 26
Inflationary headwinds for duration/equities, ESG Activism, Evergrande, APRA closing $139bn CLF, RBA QE3...
Read MoreComplexity Premia Podcast, Episode 25
Forecasting Australian Herd Immunity; Vaccines Hitting 91% Adult Coverage; Borders Re-Opening in 2022; And Why the Strong Jobs Data is...
Read MoreComplexity Premia Podcast, Episode 24
A special episode of the Complexity Premia podcast is an audible version of a new research paper from Kieran Davies...
Read MoreComplexity Premia Podcast, Episode 23
Housing Affordability Non-Crisis; Bond Market Rebound; March Performance; Bank Liquidity Issues; RBA’s QE3 Program; Credit Markets; & Budget Deficits...
Read MoreComplexity Premia Podcast, Episode 22
The Bond Market Bloodbath; February Returns; RBA QE 3.0 and 4.0; & How the RBA’s Governor Phil Lowe Brutally Blew-Up...
Read More
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 29
Whether Crypto is the 21st century Tulip Bulb Bubble?

Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 28
Looking ahead into 2022; Trajectory for inflation, rates and asset prices; NSW slashes debt issuance by $20bn; Machines entering bond market…

Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 27
House prices falling 20% if rates rise; Forecasting global wars; RBA vs bond bandits; October performance…

War Lab Revealed by ASPI’s The Strategist
Writing for the Australian Strategic Policy Institute’s The Strategist today, Coolabah Capital Investments’ Chief Investment Officer Christopher Joye unveils Coolabah’s new War Lab…

Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 26
Inflationary headwinds for duration/equities, ESG Activism, Evergrande, APRA closing $139bn CLF, RBA QE3…

Report by Dr Stephen Bartos
An Assessment of Public Policy Implications of Decisions in relation to the NSW Generations Fund and NSW Government Debt.

Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 25
Forecasting Australian Herd Immunity; Vaccines Hitting 91% Adult Coverage; Borders Re-Opening in 2022; And Why the Strong Jobs Data is Not What it Seems…

Forecasting Australian herd immunity and opening up our borders: early to mid 2022
Coolabah has attempted to forecast both the advent of “herd immunity” in Australia and when governments will be comfortable opening-up our borders to both inflows and outflows of vaccinated human capital, subject to…

Navigating By The Stars, Part 1: Estimating Australia’s NAIRU
With the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) committed to reaching its legislated “full employment” objective in order to finally return inflation to its 2-3% target band, full employment…

Video: Using artificial intelligence in bond markets and trying to short Virgin senior bonds
Enclosed is a new Livewire video interview with Jason Lindeman, Coolabah’s highly experienced Head of Credit Research, which covers: Why Coolabah…

Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 24
A special episode of the Complexity Premia podcast is an audible version of a new research paper from Kieran Davies…

Should we worry about a spike in US inflation?
This is an article published by Kieran Davies, Chief Macro Strategist, on Livewire recently. Key former policy-makers and academics have raised concerns about US inflation

Video: Lessons from 30 years in credit markets
This is an interview with Jason Lindeman, Head of Credit Research, published on Livewire recently. Jason Lindeman, Head of Credit Research at Coolabah Capital Investments,

Forecasting the housing boom
Coolabah’s Chief Macro Strategist, Kieran Davies replicates one of the RBA’s internal models on the Australian housing market and finds that house prices are expected to appreciate by about 25% over the next few years. Read the overview enclosed below.

Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 23
Housing Affordability Non-Crisis; Bond Market Rebound; March Performance; Bank Liquidity Issues; RBA’s QE3 Program; Credit Markets; & Budget Deficits…

Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 22
The Bond Market Bloodbath; February Returns; RBA QE 3.0 and 4.0; & How the RBA’s Governor Phil Lowe Brutally Blew-Up the Bond Bandits…

RBA QE is being outpaced by rest of the world, putting upward pressure on A$ and implying more QE is needed…
This is an article published by Kieran Davies, Chief Macro Strategist, on Livewire recently. In a world of near-zero interest rates, the stance of monetary

Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 21
RBA QE 1.0, 2.0, 3,0 and 4.0; WWIII; House Bubble No…

Forecasting QE3 Program
In this new paper, Coolabah’s Chief Macro Strategist, Kieran Davies, and its Chief Investment Officer, Christopher Joye, examine the case for the RBA launching QE

QE 2.0: Weak wages growth and the RBA’s full employment goal point to another round of bond purchases
In this new paper, Coolabah’s Chief Macro Strategist, Kieran Davies, and its Chief Investment Officer, Christopher Joye, examine the case for the RBA launching QE
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