Latest News
Timely insights and research on markets and macroeconomics from around the world overlaid with Coolabah’s unique contrarian philosophy.
Latest News
Coolabah Capital Investments publishes its analysis and insights across a wide range of platforms, including special academic research publications, essays, the Complexity Premia podcast, weekly in The Australian Financial Review, and on Livewire. Check out this page for the latest updates.
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 36
The Coming Recession and Monster Default Cycle; Why illiquidity is Concealing Huge Risks; the Rise of Risk-free Yield and what it Means for Asset-Allocation…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 35
The RBA’s sledgehammer is yet to fall; Bank bonds paying 6.75% pa; Riskier asset-classes to get hosed…
Livewire’s ‘Rules Of Investing’ Podcast
Christopher Joye: The RBA got it wrong, now it will crush everything…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 34
Reflections on 2022 and Outlook for 2023…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 33
Global Recession in 2023; Housing Hammered; Equities Risks; & Bond Market Opportunities…
Coolabah Expands Investment Team
Coolabah Capital Investments (CCI) is excited to announce some new additions to our investment team. With 24 years experience in fixed-income markets, Roger Douglas…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 32
Hunting Zombie Companies; the Next Sub-Prime Crisis in High-Yield Debt; the Outlook for Interest Rates; and the Aussie Housing Crash Accelerates…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 31
US Recession; Bond Markets Bounce; Record Aussie Housing…
The global factor driving Aussie swap spreads
Our fundamental model of Australian swap spreads that we released in December 2021 started the new year well, predicting…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 30
How March 2022 officially became the worst month in history for…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 29
Whether Crypto is the 21st century Tulip Bulb Bubble?
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 28
Looking ahead into 2022; Trajectory for inflation, rates and asset prices; NSW slashes debt issuance by $20bn; Machines entering bond market…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 27
House prices falling 20% if rates rise; Forecasting global wars; RBA vs bond bandits; October performance…
War Lab Revealed by ASPI’s The Strategist
Writing for the Australian Strategic Policy Institute’s The Strategist today, Coolabah Capital Investments’ Chief Investment Officer Christopher Joye unveils Coolabah’s new War Lab…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 26
Inflationary headwinds for duration/equities, ESG Activism, Evergrande, APRA closing $139bn CLF, RBA QE3…
Report by Dr Stephen Bartos
An Assessment of Public Policy Implications of Decisions in relation to the NSW Generations Fund and NSW Government Debt.
Latest Videos
The Complexity Premia Podcast
Coolabah also publishes the popular Complexity Premia Podcast, deconstructing modern investment problems in capital markets. See the latest episodes below.
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 36
The Coming Recession and Monster Default Cycle; Why illiquidity is Concealing Huge Risks; the Rise of Risk-free Yield and what it Means for Asset-Allocation…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 35
The RBA’s sledgehammer is yet to fall; Bank bonds paying 6.75% pa; Riskier asset-classes to get hosed…
Livewire’s ‘Rules Of Investing’ Podcast
Christopher Joye: The RBA got it wrong, now it will crush everything…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 33
Global Recession in 2023; Housing Hammered; Equities Risks; & Bond Market Opportunities…
Coolabah Expands Investment Team
Coolabah Capital Investments (CCI) is excited to announce some new additions to our investment team. With 24 years experience in fixed-income markets, Roger Douglas…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 32
Hunting Zombie Companies; the Next Sub-Prime Crisis in High-Yield Debt; the Outlook for Interest Rates; and the Aussie Housing Crash Accelerates…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 31
US Recession; Bond Markets Bounce; Record Aussie Housing…
The global factor driving Aussie swap spreads
Our fundamental model of Australian swap spreads that we released in December 2021 started the new year well, predicting…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 30
How March 2022 officially became the worst month in history for…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 29
Whether Crypto is the 21st century Tulip Bulb Bubble?
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 28
Looking ahead into 2022; Trajectory for inflation, rates and asset prices; NSW slashes debt issuance by $20bn; Machines entering bond market…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 27
House prices falling 20% if rates rise; Forecasting global wars; RBA vs bond bandits; October performance…
War Lab Revealed by ASPI’s The Strategist
Writing for the Australian Strategic Policy Institute’s The Strategist today, Coolabah Capital Investments’ Chief Investment Officer Christopher Joye unveils Coolabah’s new War Lab…
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 26
Inflationary headwinds for duration/equities, ESG Activism, Evergrande, APRA closing $139bn CLF, RBA QE3…
Report by Dr Stephen Bartos
An Assessment of Public Policy Implications of Decisions in relation to the NSW Generations Fund and NSW Government Debt.
Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 25
Forecasting Australian Herd Immunity; Vaccines Hitting 91% Adult Coverage; Borders Re-Opening in 2022; And Why the Strong Jobs Data is Not What it Seems…
Forecasting Australian herd immunity and opening up our borders: early to mid 2022
Coolabah has attempted to forecast both the advent of “herd immunity” in Australia and when governments will be comfortable opening-up our borders to both inflows and outflows of vaccinated human capital, subject to…
Navigating By The Stars, Part 1: Estimating Australia’s NAIRU
With the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) committed to reaching its legislated “full employment” objective in order to finally return inflation to its 2-3% target band, full employment…
Video: Using artificial intelligence in bond markets and trying to short Virgin senior bonds
Enclosed is a new Livewire video interview with Jason Lindeman, Coolabah’s highly experienced Head of Credit Research, which covers: Why Coolabah…
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