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Coolabah Capital Investments publishes its analysis and insights across a wide range of platforms, including special academic research publications, essays, the Complexity Premia podcast, weekly in The Australian Financial Review, and on Livewire. Check out this page for the latest updates.

Latest News

Timely insights and research on markets and macroeconomics from around the world overlaid with Coolabah’s unique contrarian philosophy.

The Complexity Premia Podcast

Coolabah also publishes the popular Complexity Premia Podcast, deconstructing modern investment problems in capital markets. See the latest episodes below.

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Pinnacle Investment Management Joins Coolabah Capital Family

December 12, 2019

We are delighted to announce that Pinnacle Investment Management (ASX: PNI) has joined the Coolabah Capital Investments' family.

CCI Cornerstones Landmark RMBS deal

November 24, 2019

Coolabah Capital Investments was delighted to cornerstone the first-ever RMBS bond issue—offered by CBA—that has priced off the RBA cash...

SwitzerTV, Episode 12

November 22, 2019

Coolabah Capital's Chris Joye, Domain's Jason Pellegrino and PEXA's Marcus Price discuss the property market rebound.

Alpha Manager Award | Money Management

Coolabah Capital selected as one of Australia’s Top Alpha Managers

November 18, 2019

On the subject of the search for yield, one question I am regularly asked is whether retail investors should be...

Hybrids vs High Yield

November 3, 2019

On the subject of the search for yield, one question I am regularly asked is whether retail investors should be...

House Prices to Increase 30%

November 2, 2019

It is time to unveil a new expectation: if the RBA continues cutting through conventional and unconventional means, which is...

How we predicted S&P’s shock upgrade of major bank hybrids to investment-grade

October 25, 2019

Today I explain why most global high yield bonds are really just equity risk, with similar volatility and maximum 40%...

Big banks have never faced more competition…

October 18, 2019

Today I write that the ACCC inquiry into the big banks, and the front book/back book fracas that reportedly precipitated it,...

How Aussie QE Will Work

October 11, 2019

Thoughts on CBA Perls XII

October 10, 2019

Here are some basic thoughts from my team on CBA’s new hybrid issue, which is not investment advice and should...

Complexity Premia - Episode 11

Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 11

October 9, 2019

Keen vs Joye; Is Capitalism Dead; CBA’s New Hybrid Deal; Hybrids vs Foreign High Yield; the Coming of Aussie QE...

Demolishing a housing doomsayer

October 4, 2019

On Thursday I debated and demolished my old foe Dr Steve Keen (of doomsday fame) on the contentious subject of Aussie housing....

As predicted, RBA QE is coming soon…

October 1, 2019

In predictably cutting its cash rate to a new record low of 0.75 per cent in October, the RBA moved...

Kissinger: Why Traders Are Smarter Than Investors

September 27, 2019

While studying at Cambridge University in 2003 I got a letter from former US secretary of state Henry Kissinger, inviting...

Capitalism is dead

September 20, 2019

Today I argue that in response to the 2008 crisis central banks and treasuries have thrown the baby out with...

ECB shunts RBA one step closer to QE

September 14, 2019

This weekend I write that the ECB’s decision to start buying bonds again to reduce the long-term cost of capital...

This housing boom is very different

September 6, 2019

Today I explain why this housing boom is very different to its predecessors, and should not constrain the RBA from...

Housing Boom is Back, Baby!

August 30, 2019

Today I explain why this housing boom is very different to its predecessors, and should not constrain the RBA from...

RBA Signalling QE May Be Coming

August 25, 2019

I’ve written a lot about the coming of Aussie QE since we first forecast it in May this year (the notion was...

QE Will Create Wave of Zombie Companies

August 23, 2019

Today I argue that since we blindsided participants by first putting the likelihood of the Reserve Bank of Australia launching quantitative...

Complexity Premia Podcast Episode 10

Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 10

August 16, 2019

Why the Best Investors Use Shrinks; Magellan’s Revolution; Trade Wars Rumble On; Why Aussie Bonds Pay Higher Outright Spreads; the...

China drops to No.3 US trading partner…

August 6, 2019

At the end of May we prepared this essay on the changing probabilities in Trump’s trade war, which explained that...

Complexity Premia Podcast Episode 9

Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 9

July 22, 2019

“Bail-In-Able” Debt Tsunami Special – Markets In June & July; The TLAC Tidal-Wave; How Early Deals Performed; Can Banks Fund...

Complexity Premia Podcast Episode 8

Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 8

June 27, 2019

QE Special – Housing Recovery, RBA Rate Cuts, How Much Banks Pass Through, Trading RBA Quantitative Easing (QE), And Search...

Complexity Premia Podcast Episode 7

Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 7

June 4, 2019

Trade War Special – Trump and Xi’s Game of Thrones, and May Market Performance Update

Changing Probabilities in Trump’s Trade War

June 3, 2019

Enclosed is an executive summary from a new paper that we have published on the changing probabilities in the trade...

Complexity Premia Podcast Episode 6

Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 6

May 27, 2019

ScoMo Wins, Impact on Investments, Housing Market Turning, RBA/APRA rate cuts, Best Pieces of Capital Structure, RMBS Opportunities, ScoMo’s Agenda

Complexity Premia Podcast Episode 5

Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 5

May 14, 2019

Trade War Erupts, Coming of Aussie QE, End of Aussie Housing Correction, How Currency Hedging and Duration Distort Returns and...

Sky TV Housing Debate

Crazy Housing Debate on Sky TV

May 7, 2019

Rated as one of the most watched shows on the Your Money TV channel ever, in this Peter Switzer episode...

Complexity Premia Podcast Episode 4

Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 4

April 29, 2019

The Big Credit Rally, Is the Housing Bust Over, Will RBA Engage in Unconventional Policy, Could ScoMo Win, Rising RMBS...

Hybrids vs High Yield

On the subject of the search for yield, one question I am regularly asked is whether retail investors should be switching from major bank hybrids

Read More >

How Aussie QE Will Work

Today I write that it is amusing how we have shifted from nobody believing our early May forecast that Aussie quantitative easing (QE) was coming,

Read More >

Capitalism is dead

Today I argue that in response to the 2008 crisis central banks and treasuries have thrown the baby out with the bathwater. Unable to tolerate

Read More >

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