Home Podcast Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 25

Complexity Premia Podcast, Episode 25

By: Complexity Premia
June 22, 2021

Forecasting Australian Herd Immunity; Vaccines Hitting 91% Adult Coverage; Borders Re-Opening in 2022; And Why the Strong Jobs Data is Not What it Seems…

In this punchy episode of the Complexity Premia podcast, we discuss a range of important developments, including:

Coolabah’s latest research forecasting both the advent of “herd immunity” in Australia, which we forecast will be by January or February 2022;
When governments will be comfortable re-opening our borders, which we project will be mid 2022; and
How the exodus of foreign workers from Australia has contributed to the largest surge in job vacancies since the 1970s and placed downward pressure on the official unemployment rate, which will likely be reversed-out once the borders re-open, creating complexities for policymakers.

You can download the full research paper on forecasting Australian herd immunity and our borders opening, including charts and figures, here.

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