| Fund: Coolabah Active Sovereign Bond Fund - Long Duration Class |
| Strategy: Government Bond |
| Return (since Dec. 2023): 5.23% pa gross (4.17% pa net) |
| Net return volatility (since Dec. 2023): 4.25% pa |
Objective: The Active Sovereign Bond Fund - Long Duration Class targets returns in excess of its Benchmark, the Bloomberg AusBond Treasury 0+ Yr Index (BATY0) after management costs, by 3.0% to 5.0% per annum over rolling 3 year periods.
Strategy: The Fund aims to generate diversifying excess returns above the Benchmark for each Class through exploiting relative value mis-pricings in high quality government bonds and related Derivatives that have a low correlation to equity and credit markets and the level of interest rates. The Long Duration Class aims to deliver the Fund’s investment strategy over its Benchmark, the Bloomberg AusBond Treasury 0+ Yr Index (BATY0). It offers fixed-rate bond exposure by matching its interest rate duration to that of the Index, which may be a source of interest-rate risk.
| Period Ending 2025-12-31 | Gross Return | Net Return | Bloomberg AusBond Treasury 0+Yr Index | Gross Excess Return†| Net Excess Return†|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | -0.33% | -0.39% | -0.76% | 0.43% | 0.37% |
| 3 months | -2.13% | -2.29% | -1.35% | -0.78% | -0.94% |
| 6 months | -0.35% | -1.02% | -1.26% | 0.91% | 0.24% |
| 1 year | 4.77% | 3.52% | 2.51% | 2.26% | 1.01% |
| Inception pa Dec. 2023 | 5.23% | 4.17% | 3.31% | 1.92% | 0.86% |
†The Excess Return column represents the gross and net return above the Bloomberg AusBond Treasury 0+ Yr Index
| Ratings: Recommended (Zenith) |
| Fund: Coolabah Active Sovereign Bond Fund - Long Duration Class |
| Return/Risk: 5.23% pa gross/4.17% pa net (4.25% pa volatility) |
| APIR Code | ETL5578AU | Fund Inception | 13-Dec-23 |
| ISIN | AU60ETL55786 | Distributions | Quarterly |
| Benchmark | Bloomberg AusBond Treasury 0+Yr Index | Unit Pricing | Daily (earnings accrue daily) |
| Asset-Class | Government Bond | Mgt. & Admin Fee | 0.65% pa |
| Target Return | 3-5% pa above Benchmark after mgt. fee and costs | Perf. Fee | 20% of excess outperformance above the benchmark after mgt. fees |
| Investment Manager | Coolabah Capital Investments (Retail) | Custodian | Citigroup |
| Fund: Coolabah Active Sovereign Bond Fund - Long Duration Class |
| Return/Risk: 5.23% pa gross/4.17% pa net (4.25% pa volatility) |
Portfolio commentary: In December, Coolabah’s Active Sovereign Bond Strategy returned -0.33% gross (-0.39% net), in a month characterised by settling markets, as the both the RBA and FOMC delivered what was expected.
Over the last 12 months, the Strategy returned 4.77% gross (3.52% net), outperforming the Bloomberg AusBond Treasury Index (2.51%).
The level of yields rose across the December, as the market priced in better growth and rate hikes from the RBA. This saw 3x10 curve flatten down to ~60bps and the spread between ACGBs and peer markets widen. In particular, the spread between 10-year ACGBs and the US widened to a little over 60bps, which is the largest the spread has been since 2022. In part this was due to a divergence between the dovish December FOMC meeting, and hawkishness from the RBA.
The futures roll allowed Coolabah to replace expensive bond basis with somewhat cheaper economics. Bonds richened to futures in late December as the AOFM took their traditional issuance holiday, and the budget update cut ACGB supply by ~25bn for 25/26. The supply reduction initially widened swap spreads, though they tightened in the second half of December.
In general, it was a good month to own bonds versus futures – most things worked. Coolabah’s best performing positions were at in the 10-year+ sector, where ultra flattening on account of the high and rising level of yields caused compression of longer bonds down towards the 10-year sector. There was also solid performance in the ~7-year sector. As bond basis richened we added shorts, which drew down modestly. Coolabah also drew down a little on a paid 10-year EFP position.
Bond-futures basis was generally a tailwind in December. Expensive basis was replaced with fair basis in the futures roll, which then benefited as basis richened by about 0.3bps to the end of December. This contributed to the generally good returns in the month.
Strategy commentary: In the month of December, there was a secular shift in interest rate expectations marked by a bull steepening in many global yield curves, whereby short-term interest rates declined while long-term rates climbed. This reflected several cross-currents, including the US Federal Reserve continuing to ease its policy rate lower, combined with investor anxiety about deteriorating budget deficits, ever-growing government bond issuance, and the specter of inflation rates not mean-reverting sustainably to central bank targets, amongst other things.
Coolabah’s main macro ideas for 2026 are best summarized as follows: