{"id":530,"date":"2019-08-06T09:00:30","date_gmt":"2019-08-06T09:00:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/coolabahcap.wpengine.com\/?p=530"},"modified":"2019-11-15T21:04:31","modified_gmt":"2019-11-15T11:04:31","slug":"latest-news-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coolabahcapital.com\/en-uk\/blog\/2019\/08\/06\/latest-news-1\/","title":{"rendered":"China drops to No.3 US trading partner\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"530\" class=\"elementor elementor-530\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section data-particle_enable=\"false\" data-particle-mobile-disabled=\"false\" class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-fce528b elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"fce528b\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-9714aef\" data-id=\"9714aef\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3eeaeea elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"3eeaeea\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"mentions-texteditorcontent\">At the end of May we <a href=\"https:\/\/coolabahcapital.com\/en-uk\/2019\/06\/03\/changing-probabilities-in-trumps-trade-war\/\">prepared this essay<\/a> on the changing probabilities in Trump\u2019s trade war, which explained that the end-game for many in Washington was, in fact, no deal. The goal was, on the contrary, the imposition of widespread tariffs on all Chinese exports in order to shift US supply chains out of that market, which is now considered an existential national security threat.<\/p><p class=\"mentions-texteditorcontent\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/china-lost-spot-as-top-u-s-trading-partner-in-first-half-11564749251\">WSJ reports<\/a> that the trade war has indeed had this effect, with China slumping from No.1 to No.3 in the rankings of the US\u2019s key trading partners with Mexico and Canada rising in her stead (see chart below).<\/p><p class=\"mentions-texteditorcontent\">After a brief thaw in China-US relations over June and July, animosities have resumed in August following Trump\u2019s decision to unilaterally apply a new 10% tariff on the remaining $300bn of Chinese exports that were not being taxed, which now seems sure to come into effect on 1 September.<\/p><p class=\"mentions-texteditorcontent\">China duly responded by blocking all US agricultural imports and allowing a modest depreciation in her otherwise pegged Yuan exchange rate, which Trump and the US treasury promptly slammed as \u201ccurrency manipulation\u201d, potentially presaging even more punitive tariffs.<\/p><p class=\"mentions-texteditorcontent\">Ironically, the consensus had been that China has been maintaining an artificially <em>elevated<\/em> exchange rate to thwart capital flight and avoid incurring the wrath of its US critics (ie, the Yuan would be a lot lower were it not for Chinese interventions).<\/p><p class=\"mentions-texteditorcontent\">Markets are now grappling with the juxtaposition of interest rate cuts from the Fed and the ECB in September, and the prospect of far-reaching ECB QE, balanced against the renewed headwinds to global growth precipitated by this ongoing dispute.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section data-particle_enable=\"false\" data-particle-mobile-disabled=\"false\" class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-89740f2 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"89740f2\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-2edd2d8\" data-id=\"2edd2d8\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a2f7aba elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"a2f7aba\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"314\" height=\"462\" src=\"https:\/\/coolabahcapital.com\/en-uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2019\/08\/Latest-News-190806-China-Dips-Graph.png\" class=\"attachment-medium_large size-medium_large wp-image-676\" alt=\"China Dips\" srcset=\"https:\/\/coolabahcapital.com\/en-uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2019\/08\/Latest-News-190806-China-Dips-Graph.png 314w, https:\/\/coolabahcapital.com\/en-uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2019\/08\/Latest-News-190806-China-Dips-Graph-204x300.png 204w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 314px) 100vw, 314px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>At the end of May we prepared this essay on the changing probabilities in Trump\u2019s trade war, which explained that the end-game for many in Washington was, in fact, no deal. The goal was, on the contrary, the imposition of widespread tariffs on all Chinese exports in order to shift US supply chains out of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1160,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"no-sidebar","site-content-layout":"boxed-container","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"disabled","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"disabled","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"default","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-530","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-research"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>China drops to No.3 US trading partner\u2026 - UK - Europe | Coolabah Capital Investments<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coolabahcapital.com\/en-uk\/blog\/2019\/08\/06\/latest-news-1\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China drops to No.3 US trading partner\u2026 - UK - Europe | Coolabah Capital Investments\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"At the end of May we prepared this essay on the changing probabilities in Trump\u2019s trade war, which explained that the end-game for many in Washington was, in fact, no deal. 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