{"id":1349,"date":"2020-04-29T08:00:00","date_gmt":"2020-04-28T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/stag.coolabahcapital.com\/?p=1349"},"modified":"2020-04-29T08:30:22","modified_gmt":"2020-04-28T22:30:22","slug":"coolabah-covid-19-forecasting-model-5th-most-downloaded-health-paper-in-world","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coolabahcapital.com\/en-nz\/blog\/2020\/04\/29\/coolabah-covid-19-forecasting-model-5th-most-downloaded-health-paper-in-world\/","title":{"rendered":"Coolabah COVID-19 Forecasting Model 5th Most Downloaded Health Paper in World"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"1349\" class=\"elementor elementor-1349\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section data-particle_enable=\"false\" data-particle-mobile-disabled=\"false\" class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-9d53a18 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"9d53a18\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-49d2a48\" data-id=\"49d2a48\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-58b015f elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"58b015f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Coolabah\u2019s unique COVID-19 forecasting framework, which <a title=\"https:\/\/coolabahcapital.com\/en-nz\/peak-virus-forecasting-the-peak-in-covid-19-infections-in-the-us-and-australia\/\" href=\"https:\/\/coolabahcapital.com\/en-nz\/peak-virus-forecasting-the-peak-in-covid-19-infections-in-the-us-and-australia\/\">in March correctly predicted an early April peak<\/a> for the number of new infections in key countries like the US and Australia when epidemiologists were advising the peak would be months later, is the 5th most downloaded <a href=\"https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3566596\">public health research paper<\/a> in the world according to the <a href=\"https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/topten\/topTenResults.cfm?groupingId=3169562&amp;netorjrnl=jrnl\">academic publishing site SSRN as at 29 April 2020<\/a>.<\/p><p>Bloomberg news also ran a feature story on how Coolabah\u2019s quants picked the early April peak, which then motivated about A$900 million of purchases in March of assets that subsequently started mean-reverting in value in April. You can download a PDF of that story <a href=\"https:\/\/coolabahcapital.com\/en-nz\/article-bloomberg-wall-street-quants-are-turning-20200427\/\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section data-particle_enable=\"false\" data-particle-mobile-disabled=\"false\" class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-b3be605 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"b3be605\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-dcb79e8\" data-id=\"dcb79e8\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b047e6d elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"b047e6d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/papers.ssrn.com\/sol3\/topten\/topTenResults.cfm?groupingId=3169562&#038;netorjrnl=jrnl\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1324\" height=\"500\" src=\"https:\/\/coolabahcapital.com\/en-nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2020\/04\/Post-Global-Empirical-Forecasts-Covid-19-Coolabah.jpg\" class=\"attachment-full size-full wp-image-1352\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/coolabahcapital.com\/en-nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2020\/04\/Post-Global-Empirical-Forecasts-Covid-19-Coolabah.jpg 1324w, https:\/\/coolabahcapital.com\/en-nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2020\/04\/Post-Global-Empirical-Forecasts-Covid-19-Coolabah-300x113.jpg 300w, https:\/\/coolabahcapital.com\/en-nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2020\/04\/Post-Global-Empirical-Forecasts-Covid-19-Coolabah-1024x387.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/coolabahcapital.com\/en-nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2020\/04\/Post-Global-Empirical-Forecasts-Covid-19-Coolabah-768x290.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1324px) 100vw, 1324px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Coolabah\u2019s unique COVID-19 forecasting framework, which in March correctly predicted an early April peak for the number of new infections in key countries like the US and Australia when epidemiologists were advising the peak would be months later, is the 5th most downloaded public health research paper in the world according to the academic publishing [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1353,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"default","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[43,17],"tags":[60,55,61,62],"class_list":["post-1349","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-announcement","category-research","tag-coronavirus","tag-covid-19","tag-public-health-research","tag-ssrn"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Coolabah COVID-19 Forecasting Model 5th Most Downloaded Health Paper in World - NZ | Coolabah Capital Investments<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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